Trade: Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for June 6 at 8:00PM ET: If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes". If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $21K
- Total Volume
- $9K
- 24h Volume
- $8K
- Open Interest
- $9K
Market outcomes
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 | 71% YES | 30% NO |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 | 39% YES | 61% NO |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 | 28% YES | 72% NO |
Market context
The NHL Stanley Cup Finals game between the Carolina Hurricanes and Las Vegas Golden Knights is scheduled for 6 June at 8:00 PM ET. The market currently reflects a 52% implied probability for a Hurricanes victory, with this probability formed through active trading on Polymarket's order book. The settlement window closes at midnight UTC on 7 June, allowing for resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout outcomes.
Historically, Stanley Cup Finals matchups between teams with comparable regular-season records and playoff momentum have shown that home-ice advantage and recent form carry substantial weight in determining outcomes. The Hurricanes and Golden Knights' respective playoff trajectories, including their performance in preceding rounds, provide context for evaluating whether the current 52-48 split adequately prices in roster depth, goaltending reliability, and special teams efficiency. Previous Finals games have demonstrated that seeding and regular-season standing alone do not determine results; instead, injury status and recent winning streaks often shift probabilities significantly.
Traders should monitor roster announcements through to game time, particularly regarding player availability and any last-minute lineup changes that could affect team composition. Weather conditions, whilst less relevant for indoor play, may influence travel logistics. The schedule itself presents minimal dependency risk given the Finals format, though any postponement would extend the settlement window until completion. Recent reporting from major sports outlets covering the Finals series will provide updates on team confidence, tactical adjustments, and any emerging injury concerns that could shift the probability away from the current 52% mark.
Wikipedia Context
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Makkari (character)Makkari, formerly known as Hurricane and Mercury, is a fictional character appearing in American comic books published by Marvel Comics. Created by Jack Kirby, the character first appeared as Makkari in The Eternals #5, but through retroactive continuity was later established as also having been Mercury in Red Raven Comics #1, created by Kirby and Martin Bur
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nhl.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$9K in lifetime turnover and $21K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $8K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nhl.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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