Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLS game between Minnesota United FC and Austin FC, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Minnesota United FC vs. Austin FC match originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Minnesota United FC will face Austin FC in an MLS regular season match on 10 May 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any scoreline not explicitly listed settling as "Any Other Score." The 0% implied probability across Polymarket's order book reflects the current state of liquidity and pricing, where no single exact scoreline has attracted sufficient backing to establish meaningful odds. This positioning is typical for exact-score markets in football, where the combinatorial nature of possible outcomes—ranging from 0–0 through high-scoring draws and victories—fragments trading interest across dozens of discrete options.
Historical MLS matches between these sides provide limited precedent for calibrating expectations. Austin FC, established in 2021, has relatively few head-to-head fixtures against Minnesota United. Broader MLS scoring patterns show that matches typically produce between 2–3 goals combined, with 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1 results among the most frequent outcomes. However, exact-score markets often see late movement as match day approaches, particularly when team news emerges regarding injuries or tactical adjustments that might influence expected goal output.
Traders should monitor squad availability announcements in the weeks preceding the fixture, as injuries to key attacking or defensive personnel can materially shift scoring expectations. Weather conditions at the venue and any recent form divergences between the clubs will become relevant in the final days before kickoff. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on 10 May 2026, allowing resolution shortly after the match concludes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Minnesota United FC vs. Austin FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$17 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $17 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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