Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLS game between Columbus Crew and Atlanta United FC, scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Columbus Crew | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Draw | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Atlanta United FC | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Columbus Crew will host Atlanta United FC on 24 May 2026 at 5:00 PM ET in an MLS regular season match. The market settles on the halftime result—home win, draw, or away win—across the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time. Current order book activity on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for the Columbus Crew halftime victory, with the remaining probability distributed between draws and Atlanta United wins.
MLS halftime markets historically show modest correlation with final-match outcomes, though home advantage typically manifests more consistently in first-half play than across full matches. Columbus Crew's home record and Atlanta United's away performance in the 2025 season provide relevant benchmarks; teams with strong first-half discipline tend to establish leads that persist through the interval. The 50% probability for a Crew halftime win suggests traders are pricing in competitive equilibrium, neither side commanding clear early-game dominance based on current squad composition and recent form.
Key variables affecting halftime settlement include confirmed team lineups, injury status of key attacking players, and weather conditions at Lower.com Field on match day. Atlanta United's recent tactical adjustments and Columbus's home-field pressing intensity will influence early possession patterns. Traders should monitor official team news through 24 May, as late withdrawals or formation changes can shift first-half dynamics significantly. The settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on match day, allowing approximately four hours post-match for result confirmation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $270 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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