Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between CD Guadalajara and Tigres de la UANL.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CD Guadalajara | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw (CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Tigres de la UANL | 0% YES | 100% NO |
CD Guadalajara will face Tigres de la UANL in a Liga MX fixture on Saturday, 9 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, suggesting traders are pricing this match as a certainty to occur. Settlement hinges on the game taking place as scheduled; cancellation or postponement would likely trigger a different outcome classification.
Liga MX matches between these two clubs have historically proceeded without disruption, though fixture congestion during the Mexican football calendar—particularly around May when the regular season concludes—occasionally creates scheduling pressures. Both Guadalajara and Tigres maintain professional infrastructure and stable operational status, reducing the likelihood of administrative obstacles. Previous seasons show comparable May fixtures between top-tier sides settling without incident, establishing a baseline expectation for match completion.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad availability, weather conditions in Guadalajara or the designated venue, and any Liga MX administrative notices in the week preceding 9 May. Injury updates to key players, whilst affecting match outcome markets, do not typically prevent fixture execution. The settlement window closes 2026-05-10 at 01:07 UTC, providing a narrow window after final whistle for resolution. Any official postponement notice from Liga MX or the clubs themselves would be the primary catalyst altering the current probability structure reflected in the order book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$434K in lifetime turnover and $644K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $428K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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