Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Morocco Botola Pro game between UnionTouargaSports and Maghreb AS de Fès, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| UnionTouargaSports | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Maghreb AS de Fès | 0% YES | 100% NO |
UnionTouargaSports will host Maghreb AS de Fès in a Morocco Botola Pro fixture on 10 May 2026, with settlement determined by the halftime scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current orderbook on Polymarket shows 0% implied probability for a UnionTouargaSports halftime victory, suggesting traders are pricing this outcome as effectively impossible at present. This extreme probability reflects either strong conviction about team strength differentials or insufficient liquidity to establish meaningful pricing across the three halftime outcomes.
Maghreb AS de Fès has historically been a stronger performer in the Botola Pro than UnionTouargaSports, a club based in Tamanrasset in southern Algeria that competes in Morocco's top division. When examining comparable fixtures between mismatched opponents in North African leagues, halftime results tend to correlate with overall team quality, though early-match volatility remains substantial. The 0% pricing for a UnionTouargaSports halftime win suggests the market is treating this as an away underdog scenario with minimal probability of leading at the interval.
Traders monitoring this market should track team news releases and official lineups released typically 24 hours before kickoff, as injuries to key players can shift halftime dynamics significantly. Weather conditions in Morocco during May and pitch conditions at the venue may also influence early-match tempo. The settlement window closes at 18:00 UTC on 10 May, providing a narrow window between final whistle and market resolution. Current liquidity constraints appear to be driving the extreme probability; deeper orderbook depth would likely reveal more nuanced pricing across all three halftime outcomes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.frmf.ma/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "UnionTouargaSports vs. Maghreb AS de Fès - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$706 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $706 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.frmf.ma/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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