Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming K-League game between Gwangju FC and FC Seoul, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul match originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 9% YES | 91% NO |
Gwangju FC and FC Seoul will contest a K-League match on 12 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently reflects a 6% implied probability for the exact score outcome, as formed through Polymarket's order book. This low probability reflects the mathematical reality that any single scoreline represents a small fraction of all possible match outcomes; K-League matches typically produce between 2 and 3 goals on average, with draws and narrow victories most common.
Historical K-League fixtures between these sides provide context for evaluating the current pricing. Gwangju FC and FC Seoul have competed in a league where defensive solidity and controlled possession dominate tactical approaches, reducing the frequency of high-scoring encounters. Matches between mid-table and established sides rarely produce unusual scorelines; the most probable outcomes cluster around 1–1, 1–0, and 2–1 results. The 6% probability assigned to any single exact score reflects this concentration of likelihood across a limited set of realistic outcomes rather than extreme improbability.
Traders should monitor team news, injury reports, and squad rotation decisions in the weeks preceding the fixture, particularly given the May timing within the K-League season when fixture congestion intensifies. Weather conditions at the Gwangju stadium and any late tactical announcements from either manager could influence match flow. The settlement window closes shortly after kick-off, so real-time match data will determine resolution without ambiguity regarding regulation time versus extra periods.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.kleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$35 in lifetime turnover and $22K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $35 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.kleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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