Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming KHL game, scheduled for May 3 at 7:00AM ET: If Metallurg Magnitogorsk win, the market will resolve to "Metallurg Magnitogorsk". If Ak Bars Kazan win, the market will resolve to "Ak Bars Kazan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Ak Bars Kazan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Metallurg Magnitogorsk and Ak Bars Kazan are scheduled to meet in a KHL fixture on 3 May at 7:00 AM ET. The market currently shows 0% implied probability for a Metallurg victory on Polymarket's order book, reflecting either extreme confidence in Ak Bars or a lack of liquidity at current pricing. Resolution will follow the final score including overtime and shootouts, with a shootout win counting as one additional goal for settlement purposes.
The 0% reading warrants scrutiny given typical KHL competitive dynamics. Both clubs have featured in playoff contention across recent seasons, with neither holding a decisive historical edge that would justify complete dismissal of either side. Comparable fixtures between mid-tier KHL sides rarely trade at such extremes unless one team faces documented roster depletion or the other enters with exceptional form. The settlement window closes at 11:00 UTC on the match day, allowing only a narrow window for position adjustments after team news emerges.
Traders should monitor official KHL announcements regarding lineup confirmations and any injury updates in the days preceding the fixture. Ak Bars' recent form and home-ice advantage (if applicable) will influence whether the current pricing reflects genuine analytical consensus or merely thin order-book depth. Postponement remains possible under KHL scheduling protocols, which would keep the market open until completion. Any material roster changes or coaching announcements closer to match day could shift the probability distribution significantly from its current extreme.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://en.khl.ru/calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Ak Bars Kazan" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://en.khl.ru/calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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