Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Thasaporn Naklo and Ekaterina Kuznetsova in the ITF Women Nakhon Pathom, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thasaporn Naklo' if Thasaporn Naklo advances against Ekaterina Kuznetsova. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Kuznetsova' if Ekaterina Kuznetsova advances against Thasaporn Naklo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Nakhon Pathom: Thasaporn Naklo vs Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 92% YES | 9% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Thasaporn Naklo faces Ekaterina Kuznetsova in a women's ITF tennis match scheduled for 14 May 2026 at the Nakhon Pathom tournament. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 92% implied probability favouring Naklo's advancement, suggesting substantial confidence in the Thai player's prospects. This probability has formed through active trading on the platform's order book, where participants have priced the matchup based on available player data and tournament context.
Naklo competes regularly on the ITF circuit and holds home-court advantage in Thailand, a factor historically significant in lower-tier professional tennis where travel fatigue and surface familiarity carry measurable weight. Kuznetsova, competing internationally, faces the logistical demands of overseas play. ITF women's matches at this level show considerable variance in outcomes, though seeding and ranking differentials typically correlate with win probabilities in the 70–85% range for favoured players. The 92% probability suggests traders are pricing in either a substantial ranking gap or specific form advantages favouring Naklo.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any player withdrawal announcements through the ITF's official schedule, which typically updates 48–72 hours before competition. Surface conditions at Nakhon Pathom and recent match results from both players' preceding tournaments will provide concrete data points. The settlement window extends to 21 May 2026, allowing seven days beyond the scheduled date for completion; matches delayed beyond this window without resolution trigger a 50-50 settlement, creating a tail risk for positions held through that deadline.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Nakhon Pathom: Thasaporn Naklo vs Ekaterina Kuznetsova" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$12 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $12 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: