Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Hina Inoue and Jiaqi Wang in the ITF Women Wuning, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hina Inoue' if Hina Inoue advances against Jiaqi Wang. This market will resolve to 'Jiaqi Wang' if Jiaqi Wang advances against Hina Inoue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Wuning: Hina Inoue vs Jiaqi Wang | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Hina Inoue and Jiaqi Wang are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament at Wuning on 29 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting traders are pricing in near-certainty that the match will be completed with a definitive winner. This extreme confidence in completion may reflect the stability of ITF scheduling or the absence of reported injury concerns for either player at present.
ITF Women's matches typically proceed as scheduled unless significant disruptions occur, though weather delays and player withdrawals remain material risks in lower-tier professional tennis. Historical precedent suggests that matches at established ITF venues rarely cancel outright, though rain delays extending beyond the seven-day resolution window have occasionally triggered 50-50 outcomes on comparable markets. The current pricing likely anchors to baseline completion rates rather than player-specific form or head-to-head dynamics.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament updates and any announcements regarding player fitness in the weeks preceding the match. Venue conditions at Wuning and broader scheduling pressures on the women's calendar could affect match timing. The settlement window closes 7 June 2026, providing a one-week buffer for delayed play. Any withdrawal or retirement by either player after the match begins would still resolve the market to the advancing player, whereas cancellation or indefinite postponement would trigger the 50-50 outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Wuning: Hina Inoue vs Jiaqi Wang" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: