Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Monday, June 22, 2026 between Jordan and Algeria.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Draw (Jordan vs. Algeria) | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| Jordan | 22% YES | 79% NO |
| Algeria | 56% YES | 44% NO |
Jordan will face Algeria in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 22 June. The current order book on Polymarket prices a Jordan victory at 26%, reflecting substantial backing for Algeria despite both nations' modest recent form in World Cup qualifying. The implied probability incorporates Algeria's historical strength in African football—they won the Africa Cup of Nations in 2019—against Jordan's status as a relative newcomer to the tournament stage, having qualified for only their second World Cup appearance.
Historical precedent suggests caution in reading too much into qualifying performance. Algeria reached the 2014 World Cup quarter-finals despite uneven qualification, whilst Jordan's first World Cup in 2022 saw them eliminated in group play. Head-to-head records between these sides are sparse; they last met in 2017 in Asian Cup qualifying, with Algeria winning 2–0. The 26% probability reflects Jordan's underdog status, though World Cup group matches frequently produce surprises, particularly when teams from different confederations meet without extensive recent competitive history.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates as the tournament approaches, particularly regarding Algeria's attacking depth and Jordan's defensive stability. Fixture scheduling—including which teams play first in the group and goal differential implications—will sharpen probability estimates closer to June. Recent FIFA rankings and pre-tournament friendlies in May 2026 will provide fresh form data that could shift current pricing materially.
In abstract algebra, a Jordan algebra is a nonassociative algebra over a field whose multiplication satisfies the following axioms: .
This is a list of Filipino Twenty20 International cricketers.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Jordan vs. Algeria" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$105 in lifetime turnover and $9K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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