Trade: UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming La Liga 2 game between UD Las Palmas and Málaga CF, scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF match originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $7K
- Total Volume
- $5
- 24h Volume
- $5
- Open Interest
- $5
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 17% YES | 84% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 9% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 8% YES | 92% NO |
Market context
UD Las Palmas and Málaga CF will contest a La Liga 2 fixture on 7 June 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The market prices a specific final score at 8% implied probability, reflecting the order book's current assessment across all listed outcomes. Settlement occurs at the final whistle after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties do not apply. Any result not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score," which typically captures the plurality of probability mass in exact-score markets.
Exact-score markets in second-tier Spanish football historically distribute probability across 15–20 plausible outcomes, with the most common results (1–0, 1–1, 2–1) each holding 10–15% implied probability. The 8% reading here suggests the market is pricing a moderately likely scoreline rather than an outlier result. Las Palmas and Málaga's recent form, goal-scoring patterns, and defensive records will determine which specific outcomes command higher odds; teams averaging 1.2–1.8 goals per match typically see their most probable scores cluster around single-goal margins.
Traders should monitor team news through early June for injury updates, suspension confirmations, and any fixture rescheduling announcements. Málaga's recent La Liga 2 performance and Las Palmas' attacking threat will shape the distribution. Weather conditions on match day and any late tactical shifts reported by Spanish sports media may shift probabilities in the final hours before settlement. The order book will tighten as kick-off approaches, reflecting sharper consensus on likelihood.
Wikipedia Context
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UD Las PalmasUnión Deportiva Las Palmas, S.A.D. is a professional football club based in Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Canary Islands, Spain. The club currently compete in Segunda División, the 2nd tier of the Spanish football league system following their relegation from La Liga in May 2025. Nicknamed Los Amarillos, the club was founded on 22 August 1949 as a result of a
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UD Las Palmas Atlético
Las Palmas Atlético is the reserve team of UD Las Palmas, club based in Las Palmas, in the autonomous community of the Canary Islands. They play in Segunda Federación – Group 5, holding home games at Anexo del Estadio Gran Canaria, which holds 2,000 spectators.
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UD Las Rozas BoadillaUnión Deportiva Boadilla Las Rozas is a futsal club based in Las Rozas–Boadilla del Monte in Spain. Its home games are held in Pabellón Municipal, which has a capacity of 1,000 seats.
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UD Las Palmas in European football
These are the matches that Las Palmas have played in European football competitions. The club's first entry into European football was the 1969–70 Inter-Cities Fairs Cup, with their first official entry in the 1972–73 UEFA Cup.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$5 in lifetime turnover and $7K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $5 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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