Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between Liverpool FC and Chelsea FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Liverpool FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Chelsea FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Liverpool and Chelsea will meet in a Premier League fixture on Saturday, 9 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 52% implied probability for a Liverpool victory, suggesting near-parity in market expectations despite Liverpool's historical edge in head-to-head records. This probability has formed through real-time trading activity and represents the marginal trader's assessment of outcome likelihood given available information as of today.
Historically, Liverpool holds a superior record against Chelsea across all competitions, winning approximately 45% of encounters compared to Chelsea's 35%, with the remainder drawn. Over the past five seasons, however, the fixture has tightened considerably, with both sides capable of producing dominant performances. The current 52% probability sits below Liverpool's long-run win rate, suggesting the market is pricing in either Chelsea's recent form improvements, Liverpool's potential fixture congestion, or both clubs' positioning in the final weeks of the 2025–26 season.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries and European competition schedules in the weeks preceding the match. Both clubs' involvement in cup competitions through April and early May will affect squad rotation decisions and fatigue levels. Managerial statements on tactical approach and recent league standings—particularly whether either side is chasing European qualification or managing a title challenge—will provide material signals. Weather conditions at Anfield on the day and any late-breaking fitness updates on key players represent final catalysts that could shift the order book meaningfully in the hours before kick-off.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.premierleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4.3M in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $4.2M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.premierleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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