Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Premier League game between Crystal Palace FC and Everton FC, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Crystal Palace FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Everton FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Crystal Palace will host Everton at Selhurst Park on 10 May 2026 in a Premier League fixture, with this market settling on the halftime scoreline. The 0% implied probability on the YES outcome—likely representing a Palace halftime win—reflects current order book positioning on Polymarket, where traders are pricing an extremely low likelihood of the home side leading at the interval. Settlement occurs at 13:00 UTC, approximately 90 minutes after kickoff, capturing the full first half plus stoppage time.
Halftime markets in Premier League fixtures typically show wider probability distributions than full-match outcomes, given the compressed timeframe and reduced sample size for scoring. Historical data suggests that home-side halftime wins occur in roughly 25–30% of matches across the league, depending on relative squad strength and recent form. The current 0% reading indicates either that traders perceive a substantial away-side advantage, or that liquidity has concentrated on alternative outcomes (Everton halftime win or draw), leaving the Palace option unmatched at any price.
Traders should monitor team news and lineup confirmations released in the 48 hours preceding kickoff, particularly injury status for key attacking players on either side. Everton's recent fixture congestion and Palace's home record will influence pre-match sentiment. Weather conditions at Selhurst Park on match day and any late tactical adjustments announced by managers could shift expectations, though the settlement window's proximity to halftime means only pre-match information will meaningfully affect pricing before the market closes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.premierleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.premierleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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