Trade: National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Petrojet SC
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game, scheduled for Wednesday, May 13, 2026 between National Bank of Egypt Club and Petrojet SC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $15K
- Total Volume
- $34K
- 24h Volume
- $12
- Open Interest
- $22
Market outcomes
| National Bank of Egypt Club | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| Draw (National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Petrojet SC) | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| Petrojet SC | 20% YES | 81% NO |
Market context
National Bank of Egypt Club will face Petrojet SC in an Egyptian Premier League fixture on Wednesday, 13 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 53% implied probability for a National Bank of Egypt victory, suggesting near-parity between the two sides with a modest lean towards the home or favoured team. This probability has formed through live trading activity and represents the marginal price at which the last transactions cleared.
Historically, National Bank of Egypt has held a competitive advantage in head-to-head matchups against Petrojet, though the Egyptian Premier League remains volatile with inconsistent form swings across seasons. Petrojet has demonstrated capacity to upset stronger sides but typically performs better in away fixtures than when defending at home. The 53% probability sits within the range typical for matches between mid-table and lower-mid-table sides in the Egyptian league, where underlying quality differentials are modest but measurable. Recent seasons show neither club has established sustained dominance, making historical win rates a weak predictor without current-season context.
Traders should monitor team news through early May, particularly injury updates and fixture congestion from continental competitions. The Egyptian Premier League schedule occasionally shifts due to CAF Champions League or Confederation Cup commitments. Recent form in the weeks preceding 13 May will be material—a run of wins or losses immediately before the fixture typically moves implied probabilities by 5–10 percentage points. Confirmation of starting lineups typically arrives 24–48 hours before kickoff, creating a final repricing window before settlement.
Wikipedia Context
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National Bank for Agriculture and Rural DevelopmentThe National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development (NABARD) is an All India Development Financial Institution (DFI) and an apex Supervisory Body for overall supervision of Regional Rural Banks, State Cooperative Banks and District Central Cooperative Banks in India. It was established under the NABARD Act 1981 passed by the Parliament of India. It is fu
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National Bank ActThe National Banking Acts of 1863 and 1864 were two United States federal banking acts that established a system of national banks chartered at the federal level, and created the United States National Banking System. They encouraged development of a national fiat currency backed by bank holdings of U.S. Treasury securities and established the Office of the
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National Bank of BelgiumThe National Bank of Belgium is the national central bank for Belgium within the Eurosystem. It was the Belgian central bank from 1850 until 1998, established by law of 5 May 1850 and issuing the Belgian franc.
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National Bank of GreeceThe National Bank of Greece is a banking and financial services company with its headquarters in Athens, Greece. Founded in 1841 as the newly independent country's first financial institution, it has long been the largest Greek bank, a position it still held in the early 21st century. Following the financial turmoil of the Greek government-debt crisis in the
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.efa.com.eg/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Petrojet SC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$34K in lifetime turnover and $15K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $12 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.efa.com.eg/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Petrojet SC"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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