Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the cricket match between Papua New Guinea and Cook Islands scheduled for May 10 2026 in T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Papua New Guinea vs Cook Islands | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Papua New Guinea vs Cook Islands - Who wins the toss? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Papua New Guinea vs Cook Islands - Completed match? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Papua New Guinea and Cook Islands will contest the regional final of the T20 World Cup East Asia-Pacific Qualifier on 10 May 2026, with the winner advancing to the global tournament. The match represents the culmination of regional qualifying rounds in a competition tier that determines which teams from the broader Asia-Pacific region secure World Cup spots. Settlement will be determined by the official result published on ESPNcricinfo, with any on-field tiebreak mechanism (such as a Super Over) treated as a decisive outcome rather than a tied result.
The 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects Papua New Guinea's substantially stronger cricket infrastructure and recent performance trajectory. PNG has developed a competitive domestic T20 structure and has participated in previous World Cup qualifying campaigns with greater consistency than Cook Islands, whose cricket programme operates at a considerably smaller scale. Historical East Asia-Pacific qualifiers have typically seen established cricket nations dominate regional finals, though upsets remain possible in single-match knockout formats where weather, pitch conditions and individual performances create volatility.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad selection and player availability in the weeks preceding the match, as injuries to key performers could shift match dynamics materially. The scheduling of warm-up fixtures or practice matches in late April may provide updated form indicators. Weather forecasts for the venue closer to the match date will also merit attention, given that T20 cricket's compressed format makes pitch and atmospheric conditions particularly consequential. Any late fixture changes or venue alterations would be announced through official ICC channels and ESPNcricinfo.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Papua New Guinea vs Cook Islands" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$18K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $115 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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