Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the cricket match between Nepal and Oman scheduled for 2026-04-28 in ICC Cricket World Cup League Two.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs Oman - Completed match? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs Oman - Who wins the toss? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Nepal and Oman will meet in ICC Cricket World Cup League Two on 28 April 2026, a bilateral ODI fixture within the expanded qualification pathway for the 2027 Cricket World Cup. League Two serves as the third tier of the ICC's restructured ODI league system, where teams compete for ranking points and World Cup qualification opportunities. The match forms part of a series of fixtures scheduled across the qualification window, with settlement occurring on 6 May 2026.
The 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the market's assessment that additional markets or betting opportunities related to this fixture will materialise before the settlement deadline. Historical precedent from comparable ICC League Two matches shows that prediction markets typically fragment into multiple related contracts—covering match outcomes, individual performance metrics, and ancillary betting lines—as event dates approach. The current probability suggests traders expect secondary markets to launch, whether through Polymarket itself or competing platforms, rather than indicating certainty about the match outcome itself.
Traders should monitor ICC fixture confirmations and any schedule adjustments, particularly given weather dependencies in late April and potential squad availability issues. Recent ODI League Two coverage from ESPNcricinfo and the ICC's official channels will signal whether either team faces injury concerns or administrative delays. The settlement window extends eight days beyond the scheduled match date, allowing time for official result confirmation and any related market launches that would satisfy the "more markets" condition underlying current pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs Oman - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$199 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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