Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Jersey and Switzerland scheduled for 2026-05-16 in T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Jersey will be considered correct if Jersey is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Switzerland.The outcome corresponding to Switzerland will be considered correct if Switzerland is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Jersey. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| JER | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Draw | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| CHE | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Jersey and Switzerland will contest a T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A match on 16 May 2026, with this market tracking which team strikes more sixes. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability, suggesting traders view the teams as evenly matched in their capacity to clear the boundary. The settlement window closes on 23 May 2026, allowing several days post-match for official statistics to be published on ESPNcricinfo.
Jersey's recent T20 performances show inconsistent six-hitting patterns, with their squad composition favouring technical batting over aggressive stroke play. Switzerland has developed a more aggressive middle order in recent qualifying campaigns, though their overall T20 experience remains limited compared to established cricket nations. Historical data from similar European qualifier matches indicates that six counts typically range between 8 and 14 per team in T20 formats, with variance driven heavily by pitch conditions and bowling quality rather than team reputation alone.
Key variables affecting the outcome include ground dimensions at the scheduled venue, weather conditions on match day, and the specific bowling attacks each team deploys. Recent ICC announcements regarding European qualifier scheduling have confirmed fixture dates but provided limited detail on venue specifications. Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad selection closer to the match, as the inclusion or absence of power-hitters can materially shift six-hitting potential. Pitch reports from the venue in the days preceding the match will offer concrete data on boundary distances and ball behaviour.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Jersey vs Switzerland - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $90 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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