Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between China and Hong Kong, China scheduled for 2026-05-07 in T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to China will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from China. The outcome corresponding to Hong Kong, China will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Hong Kong, China.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CHN | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| HON | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series Women's match between China and Hong Kong on 7 May 2026 will determine which team fields the match's leading individual batter. The market currently reflects 100% implied probability for a China player recording the highest individual score, suggesting the order book has priced in a strong expectation of Chinese dominance in batting performance. This probability is formed by traders pricing the relative batting strength of both squads across the upcoming fixture.
Historical context from women's T20 cricket in East Asia shows China has consistently fielded stronger batting lineups than Hong Kong in bilateral and tri-series encounters. Chinese batters have typically accumulated higher individual scores in head-to-head matchups, with their middle-order depth and opening partnerships generally outperforming Hong Kong's batting order. The current 100% probability reflects this established pattern rather than an outlier assessment.
Traders should monitor squad announcements closer to the match date, particularly any injuries to key Chinese batters or unexpected selection changes that could alter batting order dynamics. Venue conditions at the Hong Kong ground—pitch behaviour, weather forecasts, and ground dimensions—will influence scoring patterns and individual batter performance. Recent form in warm-up fixtures or earlier tri-series matches will provide updated data on current player condition and confidence levels, potentially shifting the probability if either team demonstrates unexpected batting strength or weakness.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: China vs Hong Kong, China - Team Top Batter" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$569 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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