Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Delhi Capitals and Chennai Super Kings scheduled for 2026-05-05 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Delhi Capitals will be considered correct if Delhi Capitals is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Chennai Super Kings.The outcome corresponding to Chennai Super Kings will be considered correct if Chennai Super Kings is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Delhi Capitals.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| DEL | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CHE | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Delhi Capitals will face Chennai Super Kings on 5 May 2026 in an Indian Premier League fixture. The market settles on which team strikes more sixes during the match, with settlement determined by official ESPN Cricinfo records. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 0% implied probability for Delhi Capitals, indicating the market is pricing Chennai Super Kings as the overwhelming favourite to hit more sixes.
Historically, Chennai Super Kings have ranked amongst the IPL's most consistent teams in boundary-hitting metrics, particularly in the powerplay and death overs where six-hitting frequency concentrates. Delhi Capitals have shown volatility in this regard depending on squad composition and match conditions. Previous encounters between these franchises reveal Chennai's structural advantage in aggressive batting depth, though Delhi's recent squad rotations could alter this dynamic. The current probability formation reflects Chennai's established reputation rather than team-specific 2026 roster details.
Key variables for traders include confirmed squad announcements, which typically emerge in late April, and venue conditions at the scheduled ground—pitch characteristics and outfield dimensions materially affect six-hitting rates. Weather forecasts closer to 5 May will influence powerplay aggression levels. Recent IPL form and injury status of key batsmen in both camps will shape pre-match expectations. The settlement window closes on 12 May, allowing two days post-match for ESPN Cricinfo to publish finalised statistics.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$394 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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