Trade: Cruzeiro EC vs. Goiás EC - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Copa do Brasil game between Cruzeiro EC and Goiás EC, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Cruzeiro EC vs. Goiás EC match originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $21K
- Total Volume
- $5
- 24h Volume
- $5
- Open Interest
- $5
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
Market context
Cruzeiro EC and Goiás EC will meet in the Copa do Brasil on 12 May 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any outcome not explicitly listed settles as "Any Other Score." The 7% implied probability reflects current order book positioning on Polymarket, where traders are pricing the likelihood of a specific scoreline materialising from this fixture.
Exact-score markets in Copa do Brasil matches typically trade at low probabilities across all listed outcomes, given the mathematical improbability of any single scoreline. Historical data from Brazilian domestic cup competitions shows that 1–0 results occur in roughly 15–18% of matches, whilst 2–1 outcomes account for approximately 12–14%. Scorelines beyond 3–2 become progressively rarer. The 7% probability here suggests traders view this particular outcome as moderately less likely than the most common results, though without knowing which specific score is listed, the relative positioning against comparable fixtures remains unclear.
Key variables affecting the match include team form in the weeks preceding May, squad availability and injury status, and any tactical adjustments either side implements. Recent Copa do Brasil editions have seen higher-scoring matches when attacking-minded sides meet defensive units, though Cruzeiro and Goiás' respective league positions and playing styles will determine expected goal volume. Weather conditions on match day and referee assignment may also influence match flow. Traders should monitor official team news and any schedule changes through the Copa do Brasil's official communications closer to the settlement window.
Wikipedia Context
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Cruzeiro ECCruzeiro Esporte Clube is a Brazilian professional football club, based in Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais. Although competing in a number of different sports, Cruzeiro is mostly known for its association football team. It plays in the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, the top tier of the Brazilian football league system; Copa do Brasil, the national knockout-styl
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Cruzeiro EC (women)
Cruzeiro Esporte Clube, commonly known as Cruzeiro or Cabulosas, is a Brazilian women's Association football club, based in the city of Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil. The club won the Campeonato Mineiro de Futebol Feminino once.
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Cruzeiro, São PauloCruzeiro is a municipality in the state of São Paulo in Brazil. It is located about 220 km (137 mi) from the state capital. It is part of the Metropolitan Region of Vale do Paraíba e Litoral Norte. The population is 82,571 in an area of 305.70 km2. People of things who come from or inhabit in Cruzeiro are called "cruzeirense".
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Cruzeiro do Sul, AcreCruzeiro do Sul is a municipality located on the Juruá river in the west of the Brazilian state of Acre. It is the second-largest city in Acre.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/copa-do-brasil. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Cruzeiro EC vs. Goiás EC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$5 in lifetime turnover and $21K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $5 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/copa-do-brasil. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Cruzeiro EC vs. Goiás EC - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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