Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming VTB United League game, scheduled for May 11 at 11:00AM ET: If the Unics Kazan win, the market will resolve to "Unics Kazan". If the BC Zenit win, the market will resolve to "BC Zenit". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Unics Kazan vs. BC Zenit | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Unics Kazan and BC Zenit will contest a VTB United League fixture on 11 May at 11:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 63% implied probability for a Kazan victory, suggesting the market views them as moderate favourites in this matchup. Settlement occurs on 18 May, allowing five trading days post-match for any result clarification or postponement resolution.
Historically, Kazan has maintained a stronger regular-season record than Zenit in recent VTB seasons, though playoff dynamics often compress performance differentials. The 63% probability sits within a reasonable range given Kazan's home-court advantage (the match occurs in their territory) and their recent form trajectory. Comparable matchups between these clubs over the past two seasons have typically settled with the higher-seeded or better-form team winning approximately 60–65% of the time, placing current pricing in line with historical patterns rather than representing an outlier.
Traders should monitor squad availability in the week preceding the match, particularly injury updates for key rotation players on either side. The VTB League's fixture congestion in May can affect team readiness; recent reports from league sources indicate both clubs are managing load management carefully as the season progresses. Any last-minute roster changes or coaching adjustments announced closer to tip-off could shift the order book materially. Postponement risk remains low given the league's scheduling discipline, though weather or logistical disruptions are non-zero considerations given the settlement window extends to mid-May.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.vtb-league.com/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Unics Kazan vs. BC Zenit" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$13K in lifetime turnover and $37K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $13K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.vtb-league.com/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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