Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for April 26 at 1:05AM ET: If the Shimane Susanoo Magic win, the market will resolve to "Shimane Susanoo Magic". If the Ibaraki Robots win, the market will resolve to "Ibaraki Robots". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Shimane Susanoo Magic vs. Ibaraki Robots | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The Japan B League will host a matchup between Shimane Susanoo Magic and Ibaraki Robots on 26 April at 1:05 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Shimane's victory, indicating traders are pricing this as a near-certain outcome. This extreme skew typically emerges when one team holds a decisive advantage in recent form, head-to-head record, or roster composition, though such certainty in sports markets often leaves room for execution risk or unexpected variables.
Shimane and Ibaraki occupy different tiers within Japan's second-tier professional basketball structure. Historical matchups and seasonal standings provide the foundation for understanding why the market has converged on this probability. Teams with superior win rates, stronger defensive records, or proven depth typically command higher implied probabilities in B League fixtures. The current pricing suggests Shimane holds a material edge in these conventional metrics, though the specificity of a 100% reading warrants scrutiny—such extremes rarely reflect true certainty in live sports.
Traders should monitor roster availability in the days preceding the fixture, particularly injury reports or late withdrawals that could shift competitive balance. Schedule congestion, travel logistics, and back-to-back game effects occasionally influence B League outcomes. The settlement window extends to 3 May, providing a buffer for postponements, though cancellation without rescheduling would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Any official announcements regarding player availability or fixture status should be tracked closely, as these represent the primary catalysts capable of moving the current market consensus.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.bleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Shimane Susanoo Magic vs. Ibaraki Robots" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.bleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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