Trade: English Premier League - Most Assists

Market context

The 2025–26 English Premier League season will determine which player records the most assists across all 380 matches. The settlement window closes on 24 May 2026, capturing the full campaign from August 2025 through the final day. Assists are credited only for EPL fixtures; domestic cup competitions, European tournaments, and international matches are excluded from the count. Should multiple players finish level on assist totals, alphabetical ordering of surnames determines the resolution.

Historical precedent suggests assist leaders typically accumulate 10–15 assists per season in the modern Premier League, though elite creative players occasionally exceed this range. The 0% implied probability currently reflected on Polymarket's order book indicates no single player has sufficient backing to establish meaningful odds. This reflects genuine uncertainty: squad composition remains fluid through the January 2026 transfer window, injury patterns will reshape playing time, and tactical shifts across clubs can significantly alter creative output. The market's formation depends on traders pricing in variables including managerial changes, fixture congestion, and individual player form trajectories.

Key catalysts include summer 2025 transfer announcements, which will clarify which creative talents join top-six clubs with consistent attacking opportunities. Injuries to established playmakers—particularly those at Manchester City, Liverpool, and Arsenal—will shift probability distributions substantially. Mid-season form data from January 2026 onwards will provide concrete evidence of assist-per-match rates, allowing traders to refine positions as the season's final quarter approaches.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.premierleague.com/en/stats/top/players?statMetric=goalAssists&season=2025. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "English Premier League - Most Assists" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$23K in lifetime turnover and $8K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for soccer contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

Last 24 hours alone saw $268 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.

The market has been open for 4 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share

A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

CLOB

Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.

Liquidity

USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.

UMA optimistic oracle

The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.

Slippage

The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.

Conditional token

ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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