Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming PLL game scheduled for May 8 at 10:30PM ET: If New York Atlas wins, the market will resolve to "New York Atlas". If Carolina Chaos wins, the market will resolve to "Carolina Chaos". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| New York Atlas vs. Carolina Chaos | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The Professional Lacrosse League will host a matchup between New York Atlas and Carolina Chaos on 8 May at 22:30 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting traders are pricing in near-certainty that the game will conclude with a decisive winner rather than postponement, cancellation, or a tie. This extreme probability warrants scrutiny given the settlement window extends to 9 May at 02:30 UTC, allowing roughly four hours post-scheduled start time for resolution.
Historical PLL seasons have seen fixture postponements primarily due to weather conditions or venue complications, though outright cancellations without rescheduling remain rare. The league's scheduling practices and venue infrastructure typically accommodate single-day completion. Carolina Chaos and New York Atlas have competed in the same regular season, providing baseline operational reliability data. The 100% probability reflects confidence in game completion rather than predictive certainty about either team's performance.
Traders should monitor PLL official announcements regarding weather forecasts for the venue on 8 May, any roster changes or injury reports affecting key players, and confirmation of venue availability. Recent PLL communications typically occur 24–48 hours before fixtures. The settlement mechanism depends on official PLL statistics publication; delays in official confirmation could extend the resolution window. Tie outcomes in professional lacrosse remain statistically uncommon but remain a live settlement scenario under the market's terms.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://premierlacrosseleague.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "New York Atlas vs. Carolina Chaos" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$15 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for lacrosse contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://premierlacrosseleague.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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