Trade: ITF Reggio Emilia: Gabriele Piraino vs Jacopo Bilardo
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Piraino and Jacopo Bilardo in the ITF Men Reggio Emilia, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 7:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Piraino' if Gabriele Piraino advances against Jacopo Bilardo. This market will resolve to 'Jacopo Bilardo' if Jacopo Bilardo advances against Gabriele Piraino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $317
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| ITF Reggio Emilia: Gabriele Piraino vs Jacopo Bilardo | 82% YES | 19% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Market context
Gabriele Piraino and Jacopo Bilardo are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's tournament at Reggio Emilia on 14 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Piraino's advancement at 82%, reflecting confidence in the Italian player's prospects in this domestic matchup. Settlement occurs by 21 May, allowing a seven-day window for completion; matches that extend beyond this period without resolution trigger a 50-50 split.
Both players compete regularly on the ITF circuit, where surface preference and recent form typically correlate with match outcomes. Italian clay-court specialists have historically performed well at Reggio Emilia given the red-clay surface and home-crowd advantage. Piraino's positioning at 82% suggests the market perceives a meaningful gap in current ranking or recent tournament performance between the two competitors, though this probability remains below the 90%+ threshold reserved for heavily favoured seeds or significantly higher-ranked players.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament draws and any late withdrawals through the event's official channels. Weather disruptions affecting clay courts in the Emilia-Romagna region during mid-May could delay play, whilst injury announcements in the 48 hours before the match would shift probabilities materially. The settlement window's seven-day buffer provides reasonable protection against minor scheduling delays, but extended rain or player injury requiring withdrawal would trigger the neutral resolution clause.
Wikipedia Context
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ITU RegionThe International Telecommunication Union (ITU), in its International Radio Regulations, divides the world into three ITU regions for the purposes of managing the global radio spectrum. Each region has its own set of frequency allocations, the main reason for defining the regions.
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ITV (TV network)ITV is a British free-to-air public broadcast television network. It is branded as ITV1 in most of the UK except for central and northern Scotland, where it is branded as STV. It was launched in 1955 as Independent Television to provide competition to BBC Television. ITV is the oldest commercial network in the UK. Since the passing of the Broadcasting Act 19
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List of ITV regions
The ITV television network of the United Kingdom is divided into a number of geographical regions.
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Isaac Samuel ReggioIsaac Samuel Reggio (YaShaR) was an Austro-Italian scholar and rabbi. He was born and died in Gorizia.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "ITF Reggio Emilia: Gabriele Piraino vs Jacopo Bilardo" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $317 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "ITF Reggio Emilia: Gabriele Piraino vs Jacopo Bilardo"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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