Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Yuttana Charoenphon and Alan Magadan in the ITF Men Nakhon Pathom, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuttana Charoenphon' if Yuttana Charoenphon advances against Alan Magadan. This market will resolve to 'Alan Magadan' if Alan Magadan advances against Yuttana Charoenphon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Nakhon Pathom: Yuttana Charoenphon vs Alan Magadan | 12% YES | 88% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Yuttana Charoenphon, a Thai player competing on the ITF Men's circuit, faces Argentina's Alan Magadan in the Nakhon Pathom tournament, scheduled for 13 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional fixture on the ITF Men's tour, where both players typically compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 12% implied probability for Charoenphon's advancement, suggesting the market views Magadan as the stronger prospect or expects him to be favoured by conditions and seeding.
ITF Men's matches at this tier show high variance in outcomes, particularly when involving players from emerging tennis markets competing against South American professionals. Magadan's recent activity on the ITF circuit and any recent ranking movements would typically inform such pricing; however, historical data on direct head-to-head records between these specific players remains sparse. The 12% probability implies significant confidence in Magadan, though ITF tournaments frequently produce upsets when lower-ranked players face unfamiliar opponents or when surface and court conditions favour particular playing styles.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any withdrawal announcements closer to the scheduled date. Court surface conditions at Nakhon Pathom, player injury updates, and recent form indicators from both competitors' preceding matches will influence the order book substantially. The settlement window extends to 21 May 2026, allowing seven days beyond the scheduled date for completion; any cancellation or abandonment without a winner triggers a 50-50 resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Nakhon Pathom: Yuttana Charoenphon vs Alan Magadan" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$31 in lifetime turnover and $159 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $31 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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