Trade: Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Pharco FC - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game between Tala'ea El Gaish SC and Pharco FC, scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Pharco FC match originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $239
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score | 48% YES | 52% NO |
Market context
Tala'ea El Gaish SC and Pharco FC will meet in the Egyptian Premier League on 18 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market's 48% YES probability reflects the combined likelihood of specific scorelines being priced across Polymarket's order book, with traders currently valuing exact-score outcomes at near-even odds. This suggests meaningful uncertainty around both the match result and the distribution of goals, typical for fixtures between mid-table Egyptian sides where scoring patterns vary considerably.
Historical Egyptian Premier League matches between comparable clubs show exact-score markets typically resolve to "Any Other Score" in roughly 60–70% of fixtures, given the difficulty of predicting precise goal tallies. Tala'ea El Gaish and Pharco have operated at similar competitive levels in recent seasons, making this a relatively balanced fixture. The current 48% probability indicates traders are pricing in a reasonable chance of one of the explicitly listed outcomes materialising, though the plurality of possible final scores remains the base case.
Traders should monitor team news and injury updates as the fixture approaches, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel. Fixture congestion in the Egyptian league's final weeks may affect squad rotation or fatigue levels. Polymarket's order book will tighten as match day approaches, with the probability likely shifting based on confirmed lineups and any late tactical adjustments announced by either club.
Wikipedia Context
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Tala'ea El Gaish SCTala'ea el-Gaish Sporting Club, also known as Army, is an Egyptian sports club based in Cairo, Egypt. The club is mainly known for its professional football team, which currently plays in the Egyptian Premier League, the top league in the Egyptian football league system.
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TalibanThe Taliban, officially known as the Islamic Movement of Taliban, also referring to themselves by their state name, the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan, is an Afghan political and militant organization with an ideology comprising elements of the Deobandi movement of Islamic fundamentalism and Pashtun nationalism. It ruled approximately 90% of Afghanistan from
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Talaat PashaMehmed Talât Pasha, commonly known as Talaat Pasha or Talat Pasha, was a Turkish activist, revolutionary, politician, and convicted war criminal who served as the de facto leader of the Ottoman Empire from 1913 to 1918. He was chairman of the Union and Progress Party, which operated a one-party dictatorship in the Empire; during World War I he became Grand V
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Tala (music)A tala literally means a 'clap, tapping one's hand on one's arm, a musical measure'. It is the term used in Indian classical music similar to musical meter, that is any rhythmic beat or strike that measures musical time. The measure is typically established by hand clapping, waving, touching fingers on thigh or the other hand, verbally, striking of small cym
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.efa.com.eg/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Pharco FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $239 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.efa.com.eg/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Pharco FC - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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