Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Hong Kong, China and Malaysia scheduled for 2026-05-07 in T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Hong Kong, China will be considered correct if Hong Kong, China is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Malaysia.The outcome corresponding to Malaysia will be considered correct if Malaysia is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Hong Kong, China. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| HON | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| MYS | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women's match between Hong Kong, China and Malaysia on 7 May 2026 will determine which side strikes more sixes during their encounter. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Hong Kong, China, suggesting the market has priced Malaysia as the clear favourite to hit the greater number of sixes. This extreme skew typically emerges when one team holds a substantial historical advantage in aggressive batting metrics or when recent form data heavily favours one side.
Women's T20 cricket has seen increasing six-hitting rates across international fixtures, though regional sides like Hong Kong and Malaysia show considerable variance depending on opposition quality and pitch conditions. Malaysia's domestic T20 programme has generally produced batters with higher strike rates in recent seasons, whilst Hong Kong's squad composition has fluctuated. The tri-series format itself—typically featuring three matches across a short window—often sees teams adjust their approach based on earlier results, which can influence boundary-hitting aggression.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and any recent warm-up matches before 7 May, as injuries to key batters or late roster changes could shift the six-hitting calculus. Weather conditions at the Hong Kong venue on match day will also matter; overcast conditions typically suppress six-hitting rates. The settlement window closes on 14 May, allowing time for ESPN Cricinfo's final statistics to be published and verified before resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Malaysia - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$333 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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