Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Mirassol FC and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Mirassol FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol match originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Mirassol FC will face Associação Chapecoense de Futebol in a Brazil Série A fixture on 10 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently shows 0% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, indicating no traders have placed bids on any specific scoreline. This reflects the substantial distance to the match date and the difficulty in pricing exact outcomes in football markets, where even heavily favoured results rarely command high probability density on individual scorelines.
Exact-score markets in Brazilian football typically see clustering around low-scoring results (1–0, 0–0, 1–1) and modest wins (2–0, 2–1), though the distribution depends heavily on each team's offensive and defensive profile. Historical data from comparable Série A fixtures shows that any single scoreline rarely exceeds 8–12% implied probability, with the residual probability mass distributed across "Any Other Score." Current team form, injury status, and recent head-to-head records will become material as the match approaches.
Traders should monitor official team news regarding squad availability and any fixture rescheduling announcements, as the settlement window closes at 21:30 UTC on match day. Polymarket's order book will likely remain thin until late April 2026, when liquidity typically concentrates in football markets. Fixture congestion in the Brazilian calendar and any mid-season disruptions could affect team preparation and tactical approach, influencing the probability distribution across scorelines.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Mirassol FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$33 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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