Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Blake Ellis and Rigele Te in the Jiujiang, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blake Ellis' if Blake Ellis advances against Rigele Te. This market will resolve to 'Rigele Te' if Rigele Te advances against Blake Ellis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Jiujiang: Blake Ellis vs Rigele Te | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Jiujiang: Blake Ellis vs Rigele Te Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Jiujiang: Blake Ellis vs Rigele Te Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Jiujiang: Blake Ellis vs Rigele Te Set 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Jiujiang: Blake Ellis vs Rigele Te Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Jiujiang: Blake Ellis vs Rigele Te Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Jiujiang: Blake Ellis vs Rigele Te Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Jiujiang: Blake Ellis vs Rigele Te Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Blake Ellis and Rigele Te are scheduled to compete in a Jiujiang tennis match on 26 April 2026. The market currently reflects a 50-50 split on Polymarket's order book, indicating genuine uncertainty amongst traders about the outcome. Settlement occurs on 4 May 2026, providing a five-day window after the scheduled match date to accommodate potential delays or administrative processing.
Historical precedent suggests that evenly-split markets in lower-tier professional tennis often reflect genuine competitive parity rather than information asymmetry. Ellis and Te likely occupy similar rankings within the professional circuit, with comparable recent form and head-to-head records. Markets at 50-50 typically emerge when traders cannot identify a clear edge based on available ranking data, recent tournament results, or surface-specific performance metrics. The absence of strong directional positioning indicates neither player has recent momentum or injury concerns that would shift the probability materially.
Traders should monitor ATP and WTA announcements regarding player withdrawals or schedule changes in the weeks preceding 26 April, as cancellations or delays beyond seven days trigger a 50-50 resolution. Court surface conditions at the Jiujiang venue and any late-breaking fitness updates will influence order book positioning closer to match day. Recent tournament results from both players in March and early April 2026 will likely drive the final probability adjustment, particularly if either player demonstrates improved or deteriorating form on comparable surfaces.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Jiujiang: Blake Ellis vs Rigele Te" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$67K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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