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Europa league

Trade: UEFA Europa League: Top Scorer (Club)

Opened · Settles · 1 comments

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to the club that records the most total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the club who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the club that is listed first alphabetically.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$379
Total Volume
$21K
24h Volume
Open Interest
$241
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Market outcomes

Midtjylland 0% YES100% NO
SC Freiburg 15% YES85% NO
VfB Stuttgart 0% YES100% NO
Red Star Belgrade 0% YES100% NO
Fenerbahçe 0% YES100% NO
Dinamo Zagreb 0% YES100% NO
Lyon 0% YES100% NO
Porto 0% YES100% NO

Market context

The 2025-26 UEFA Europa League will determine which club scores the most goals across all tournament rounds, from the qualifying stages through to the final on 21 May 2026. The competition typically attracts 213 clubs from across Europe's national leagues, with the group stage and knockout rounds providing the primary scoring opportunities. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the early stage of price discovery, as traders have not yet committed capital to any specific club outcome. With the tournament months away, liquidity remains sparse and the book is forming around minimal trading activity.

Historical patterns show that elite attacking clubs from the "big five" European leagues—particularly those from Spain, England, Germany, Italy and France—dominate the Europa League scoring charts. Clubs like Sevilla, Manchester United and Roma have regularly finished as top scorers in recent editions, though the competition's structure means that deeper tournament runs correlate strongly with goal tallies. The 2024-25 edition will provide crucial reference data for assessing which clubs possess both offensive depth and realistic paths to extended participation.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and transfer activity through the summer of 2025, as attacking recruitment will shape scoring potential. The official draw for the group stage, typically held in August 2025, will clarify fixture difficulty and opponent quality. Early-season domestic league form in autumn 2025 will signal which clubs are building momentum heading into the Europa League's main rounds, whilst injury patterns to key strikers across January and February 2026 could materially shift scoring distributions.

Wikipedia Context

  • List of UEFA Cup and Europa League top scorers

    The UEFA Europa League, known until 2009 as the UEFA Cup, is an annual association football cup competition organised by UEFA since 1971, and it is the second most important club competition in Europe. Originally a knockout competition, it later evolved to include group stages and a series of qualifying rounds. This article lists both the competition's seas

  • Soccer on Fox Sports

    Fox currently airs soccer matches in the United States. These matches are from the FIFA World Cup, the FIFA Women's World Cup, the UEFA European Championship, the Gold Cup and Copa América. With the network currently also airing select MLS and Liga MX matches. Fox formerly aired the UEFA Champions League and UEFA Europa League, the Premier League, the Bundes

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/statistics/clubs/goals/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "UEFA Europa League: Top Scorer (Club)" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$21K in lifetime turnover and $379 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for europa league contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for 3 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/statistics/clubs/goals/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "UEFA Europa League: Top Scorer (Club)"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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