Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Ramboot Club and KPI Gaming in the VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 4 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ramboot Club" if Ramboot Club win the match against KPI Gaming. This market will resolve to "KPI Gaming" if KPI Gaming win the match against Ramboot Club. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: RBT (-1.5) vs KPI Gaming (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: KPI (-1.5) vs Ramboot Club (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Ramboot Club face KPI Gaming in a lower bracket quarterfinal of the VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs on 4 May at 11:00 AM ET. The match is a best-of-three format within Spain's secondary Valorant competitive circuit. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal trading activity or a strong consensus that one team is heavily favoured, though the current book depth and spread remain opaque without live order visibility.
VCL Spain operates as a feeder league for regional talent, with rosters frequently rotating between the main LVP circuit and Rising division. Historical precedent suggests lower bracket matches in secondary leagues often see significant upsets relative to seeding, particularly when teams have limited recent match data or when roster changes occur mid-season. The current probability assignment warrants scrutiny given the limited public information typically available on Rising-tier teams compared to franchised or main-circuit competitors.
Key variables for settlement include fixture confirmation closer to the scheduled date, any last-minute roster changes or player availability issues, and whether either team experiences technical difficulties that might trigger the seven-day delay clause. The LVP typically publishes match schedules and team rosters on their official channels; traders should monitor these for updates through the settlement window closing on 4 May at 21:10 UTC. Fixture cancellations in secondary leagues, whilst uncommon, do occur when organisers consolidate playoff rounds.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/LVPes2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Ramboot Club vs KPI Gaming (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/LVPes2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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