Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket final match between FUT Esports and Team Vitality in the VCT EMEA Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against Team Vitality. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against FUT Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 42% YES | 58% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) | 31% YES | 70% NO |
FUT Esports and Team Vitality will contest the upper bracket final of the VCT EMEA Playoffs on 15 May, with the winner advancing directly to the grand final. The best-of-three match is scheduled for 11:00 AM ET, with settlement occurring at 21:00 UTC the same day. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 42% implied probability for FUT Esports victory, suggesting market participants view Vitality as slight favourites in this matchup.
Team Vitality have historically maintained stronger consistency within EMEA's competitive landscape, with deeper playoff experience and more stable roster continuity than FUT Esports. However, FUT's recent performances have shown improved coordination and map pool flexibility. The 42% probability for FUT reflects genuine uncertainty rather than dismissal—comparable upper bracket finals in regional competitions typically see probabilities within the 35–50% range when teams possess overlapping skill tiers and recent form trajectories remain contested.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions through official VCT channels, as player availability directly impacts preparation depth. Recent scrim results and map veto patterns from both teams' preceding matches will provide concrete data on current form. Schedule adherence is critical given the settlement window's strict 7-day buffer; any postponement beyond 22 May without completion triggers a 50-50 resolution. Vitality's recent LAN performances and FUT's domestic circuit results in the weeks preceding the playoff will likely drive order book movement closer to match time.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_emea. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$155 in lifetime turnover and $27K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $92 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_emea. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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