Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Team WE in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 9 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Team WE. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Top Esports and Team WE will compete in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the LPL Group Ascend competition, scheduled for 9 May 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Top Esports victory across Polymarket's order book, indicating traders are pricing this as a near-certain outcome. Settlement occurs at 17:00 UTC on the scheduled date, with provisions for a 50-50 resolution should the match be cancelled, delayed beyond seven days, or end in a tie.
Top Esports has historically dominated LPL competition and maintains a significantly higher win rate against Team WE in recent seasons. The current probability reflects this established competitive gap rather than any recent shock announcement. Team WE's roster changes and mid-season form relative to Top Esports' consistency will determine whether this extreme pricing holds through to match day. The LPL's fixture scheduling has remained reliable, with cancellations rare outside of exceptional circumstances.
Traders should monitor LPL official announcements regarding player availability, particularly any last-minute roster substitutions or health issues affecting either team's starting lineup. Recent patch updates to League of Legends can occasionally shift meta-dependent matchups, though this typically influences probability only modestly when one team holds a substantial skill advantage. Any delay announcements from the LPL would trigger the seven-day grace period, creating potential resolution ambiguity if the match extends beyond 16 May without completion.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lplenglish. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$836K in lifetime turnover and $6.2M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $825K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lplenglish. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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