Trade: LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between MVK Esports and GAM Esports in the LCP Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 5 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against GAM Esports. This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win the match against MVK Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $19K
- Total Volume
- $3K
- 24h Volume
- $381
- Open Interest
- $6K
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5) | 51% YES | 49% NO |
Market context
MVK Esports and GAM Esports will contest a League of Legends lower bracket semifinal in the LCP (League of Legends Continental Pro) Playoffs on 5 June 2026. The match is a best-of-five series scheduled for 5:00 AM ET, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. The current order book on Polymarket prices MVK's victory at 38 per cent implied probability, reflecting market participants' assessment that GAM enters as the favoured side.
Historical context for LCP lower bracket matchups suggests that seeding and regular season performance carry significant predictive weight. GAM Esports has historically been a stronger regional performer than MVK, though both organisations have experienced roster changes and coaching adjustments heading into the 2026 season. The 62–38 probability split favours GAM substantially, consistent with typical market pricing when a higher-ranked team faces a lower-ranked opponent in elimination rounds. Recent LCP seasons have shown that upsets in lower bracket semifinals occur but remain uncommon when the skill gap is pronounced.
Key catalysts for traders include any last-minute roster announcements, player illness or visa complications, and the outcomes of preceding matches that may affect team momentum or scheduling. The settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on 5 June, allowing approximately ten hours after the scheduled start time for the match to conclude. Any delay exceeding seven days without a determined winner triggers a 50–50 resolution. Monitor official LCP communications for fixture confirmations and any technical issues that might affect match completion.
Wikipedia Context
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Lol Mahamat Choua
Lol Mahamat Choua was a Chadian politician who served as his country's head of state for four months in 1979. He was the President of the Rally for Democracy and Progress (RDP) political party.
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LOL (video game)LOL, known in Europe as Bakushow and in Japan as Archime DS , is a party video game developed by Route24 and Skip Ltd. for the Nintendo DS and published by Skip Ltd. in Japan, Agetec in North America, and Rising Star Games in Europe. Developed by a group of five people headed by Kenichi Nishi, it is a multiplayer game implemented with a PictoChat-like interf
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Lola Mk6The Lola Mk6 GT was a racing car with a production run of only three units, built between 1962 and 1963 by British car manufacturer Lola Cars. With its 289 cu in (4.74 L) Ford V8 engine, following the ideas of John Tojeiro in his 1962 Buick engined EE, the Mk6 GT was the next mid-mounted, high displacement V8-powered Grand Touring car, a chassis arrangement
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Lola Mk4The Lola Mk4 and the derivative Mk4A were Formula One racing cars constructed by the Lola company in 1962. They were designed by Lola founder, owner and Chief Designer Eric Broadley at the request of Reg Parnell, proprietor of the Bowmaker Racing Team. The Mk4 was the first design that Lola produced for the top tier of motorsport.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lolpacificen. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$3K in lifetime turnover and $19K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $381 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lolpacificen. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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