Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Meavedron and Bohemian Guardians in the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 1 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Meavedron" if Meavedron win the match against Bohemian Guardians. This market will resolve to "Bohemian Guardians" if Bohemian Guardians win the match against Meavedron. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: MVE (-1.5) vs Bohemian Guardians (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Meavedron and Bohemian Guardians are scheduled to contest a best-of-three League of Legends match in the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season on 1 May at 10:00 AM ET. The settlement window closes at 20:00 UTC the same day, allowing approximately ten hours for the match to conclude following its scheduled start. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for match completion, suggesting traders are pricing in near-certainty that the fixture will be played and resolved within the settlement window.
Hitpoint Masters matches in prior seasons have maintained reliable scheduling adherence, with cancellations or seven-day delays remaining uncommon in the regional circuit. The 50-50 resolution clause applies only if the match is cancelled outright, ends in a tie (exceptionally rare in League of Legends), or extends beyond 7 May without a winner. Historical data from comparable regional tournaments indicates that regular season fixtures typically conclude on their scheduled date, which anchors the high implied probability currently visible on the order book.
Traders should monitor Hitpoint's official announcements for any venue, technical, or roster-related disruptions in the days preceding 1 May. Recent esports scheduling has occasionally faced delays due to player availability or infrastructure issues, though such occurrences remain the exception rather than the norm in established regional leagues. The tight settlement window—closing ten hours after the scheduled start—leaves minimal margin for rescheduling without triggering the tie-resolution clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/hitpointcz. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Meavedron vs Bohemian Guardians (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$24K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/hitpointcz. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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