Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports Challengers and KT Rolster Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports Challengers" if Hanwha Life Esports Challengers win the match against KT Rolster Challengers. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win the match against Hanwha Life Esports Challengers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 38% YES | 63% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 39% YES | 61% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 40% YES | 61% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 47% YES | 54% NO |
| Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5) | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 66% YES | 34% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 27% YES | 74% NO |
Hanwha Life Esports Challengers face KT Rolster Challengers in a best-of-three fixture within the LCK Challengers League, South Korea's secondary competitive League of Legends circuit. The match is scheduled for 12 May 2026 at 04:00 ET, with settlement occurring at the conclusion of play. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 39% implied probability for a Hanwha victory, suggesting market participants favour KT as the likely winner, though the spread indicates meaningful uncertainty.
The LCK Challengers League serves as a development pathway where academy rosters and emerging talent compete for promotion and visibility. Historical matchups between these organisations' secondary teams show KT Rolster's infrastructure typically translates to stronger performance at the challenger level, though Hanwha has fielded competitive rosters capable of upset victories. The 39% probability for Hanwha aligns with their status as underdogs but reflects sufficient credibility to warrant meaningful backing.
Traders should monitor roster announcements and player availability in the days preceding the fixture, particularly any last-minute substitutions that could shift competitive balance. Schedule confirmations from the LCK official channels remain critical given the early morning ET timing, which occasionally triggers broadcast delays or rescheduling. Recent LCK Challengers fixtures have proceeded as scheduled, though weather or technical issues affecting Korean broadcast infrastructure warrant attention. Any postponement beyond seven days without resolution would trigger a no-contest settlement.
Lolianwala is a village of Mandi Bahauddin District in the Punjab province of Pakistan. It is located at 32°40'0N 73°34'0E at an altitude of 224 meters. Its name has been changed as "Kot Noor Shah" with reference of shrine of Syed Noor Hussain Shah.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://play-origin.sooplive.com/afchall. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $28K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://play-origin.sooplive.com/afchall. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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