Trade: LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between EDward Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 3 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against EDward Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $356K
- Total Volume
- $260K
- 24h Volume
- $247K
- Open Interest
- $205K
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 17% YES | 83% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 17% YES | 83% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 18% YES | 83% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 16% YES | 85% NO |
| Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) | 85% YES | 16% NO |
Market context
EDward Gaming face Bilibili Gaming in the lower bracket round one of the 2026 LPL Playoffs, a best-of-five series scheduled for 3 June at 05:00 ET. The winner advances deeper into the playoffs whilst the loser is eliminated. The 7% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects strong market conviction towards Bilibili Gaming, one of the LPL's established organisations with consistent playoff performances, whilst EDward Gaming enters as the underdog in this matchup.
Historical context suggests that lower bracket round one matches in the LPL typically feature significant disparities in team strength, as seeding determines bracket placement. Bilibili Gaming's regular season performance and roster stability generally position them as favourites in such encounters. The 7% probability assigned to EDward Gaming aligns with typical market pricing for lower-seeded teams facing stronger opponents in elimination matches, though upsets do occur at measurable frequencies in best-of-five formats where momentum and meta adaptation can shift outcomes across multiple games.
Traders should monitor roster announcements, recent scrim results if disclosed, and any schedule changes leading to the settlement window closure on 3 June. The LPL's official broadcast schedule and any injury or substitute player confirmations will be critical data points. Additionally, meta shifts in the weeks preceding playoffs can alter team preparedness; teams that adapt quickly to patch changes sometimes outperform seeding expectations. Current order book depth will indicate whether the 7% probability reflects genuine consensus or thin liquidity at extreme odds.
Wikipedia Context
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Edward LowEdward Low, also known as Ned Low, was a pirate of English origin during the latter days of the Golden Age of Piracy, in the early 18th century. Low was born into poverty in Westminster, Middlesex, and was a thief from an early age. He moved to Boston, Massachusetts, as a young man. His wife died in childbirth in late 1719. Two years later, he became a pirat
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Lord Edward FitzGeraldLord Edward FitzGerald was an Irish aristocrat and revolutionary proponent of Irish independence from Britain. He abandoned his prospects as a distinguished veteran of British service in the American War of Independence, and as an Irish Parliamentarian, to embrace the cause in Ireland of Catholic-Protestant reconciliation and of a sovereign republic. Unable
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Lord Edward's crusadeLord Edward's Crusade, sometimes called the Ninth Crusade, was a military expedition to the Holy Land under the command of Edward Longshanks, later king of England, in 1271–1272. In practice an extension of the Eighth Crusade, it was the last of the Crusades to reach the Holy Land before the fall of Acre in 1291, which brought an end to the permanent crusade
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Lord Edward CecilLord Edward Herbert Gascoyne-Cecil, known as Lord Edward Cecil, was a distinguished and highly decorated English soldier. As colonial administrator in Egypt and advisor to the Liberal government, he helped to implement Army reforms.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.huya.com/lpl. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$260K in lifetime turnover and $356K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $247K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.huya.com/lpl. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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