Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between Passion Academy and STEP in the United21 Group A, initially scheduled for June 5 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Passion Academy" if Passion Academy win the match against STEP. This market will resolve to "STEP" if STEP win the match against Passion Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: PSN.A (-1.5) vs STEP (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Passion Academy face STEP in a best-of-three Counter-Strike decider match within the United21 Group A tournament, scheduled for 5 June at 04:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects an 85% implied probability favouring Passion Academy, suggesting the market has priced in a substantial performance gap between the two sides. This probability has formed through active trading on the platform's order book, where buyers at higher YES prices have been absorbed at lower volumes than sellers willing to take the opposite position.
Historical precedent in regional Counter-Strike tournaments shows that Group A deciders often favour teams with established map pools and recent LAN experience. Passion Academy's positioning at 85% implies traders view them as holding a decisive advantage—likely stemming from prior head-to-head records, current roster stability, or recent tournament results. STEP would need to demonstrate unexpected form or exploit specific map selections to justify the 15% probability currently assigned to them. The gap between the two probabilities suggests limited uncertainty around the fundamental matchup quality.
Traders should monitor any roster changes or player availability announcements before the settlement window closes on 5 June at 14:00 UTC. Fixture confirmations from the United21 organisers remain critical, as the market resolves to 50-50 if the match is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days without completion, or ends in a tie. Recent esports scheduling disruptions mean verification of the 04:00 ET start time should be cross-referenced with official tournament communications.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/united21_en. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7 in lifetime turnover and $475 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $7 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/united21_en. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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