Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Project 91 and OLDBOYS- in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 13 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Project 91" if Project 91 win the match against OLDBOYS-. This market will resolve to "OLDBOYS-" if OLDBOYS- win the match against Project 91. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Project 91 and OLDBOYS- are scheduled to contest a best-of-one Counter-Strike match in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season on 13 May at 2:00PM ET. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 50–50 split, indicating genuine uncertainty amongst traders regarding which team will secure the map victory. Settlement occurs at 2026-05-14T00:15:00Z, allowing roughly 22 hours post-scheduled start time for the match to conclude.
ESEA Advanced Europe serves as a competitive but secondary-tier circuit within European Counter-Strike, positioned below the Pro League structure. Teams at this level exhibit substantial variance in form and roster stability. Historical precedent suggests that matches in this division frequently hinge on recent roster changes, player availability, and momentum from preceding fixtures rather than established head-to-head records. The 50–50 probability likely reflects limited historical data between these specific rosters or comparable uncertainty in their current competitive standing.
Traders should monitor ESEA's official fixture announcements for any rescheduling or cancellation notices, as administrative delays remain common in regional leagues. Roster confirmations closer to match day—particularly regarding stand-in availability or last-minute substitutions—can shift expected performance materially. Server location and technical reliability on match day may also influence outcomes in best-of-one formats where single-map variance carries full weight. No recent news sources have flagged either team's current status as of the market's formation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs OLDBOYS- (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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