Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Oxuji Esports and TNC in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Oxuji Esports" if Oxuji Esports win the match against TNC. This market will resolve to "TNC" if TNC win the match against Oxuji Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: TNC (-1.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Oxuji Esports and TNC are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match on 11 May at 1:00PM ET as part of the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage. The current Polymarket order book reflects a 100% implied probability for Oxuji Esports, indicating the market has priced in an overwhelming expectation of their victory. This extreme probability suggests either substantial confidence in Oxuji's superiority or limited liquidity in the order book at present.
Counter-Strike group stage matches between regional competitors typically see tighter probability distributions unless one team has demonstrably superior recent form or roster strength. Oxuji Esports and TNC represent different competitive tiers within the South Asian esports circuit, with historical matchups and recent tournament placements informing baseline expectations. The 100% reading warrants scrutiny—such extremes in esports markets often reflect thin order books rather than genuine certainty, particularly for matches involving teams outside the top-tier international circuit.
Traders should monitor several developments before settlement on 11 May at 23:00 UTC. Roster changes or last-minute substitutions announced by either organisation could shift competitive balance materially. Schedule confirmations from NODWIN Gaming remain critical, as delays beyond seven days without a completed result trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent form data from both teams' preceding matches in the series, along with any technical issues affecting the broadcast or server stability, represent live catalysts that could influence outcomes or match completion status.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/nodwin_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs TNC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/nodwin_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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