Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket final match between Lynn Vision and Kaleido Gaming in the Asian Champions League Group B, initially scheduled for May 13 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lynn Vision" if Lynn Vision win the match against Kaleido Gaming. This market will resolve to "Kaleido Gaming" if Kaleido Gaming win the match against Lynn Vision. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: LVG (-1.5) vs Kaleido Gaming (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Lynn Vision and Kaleido Gaming are scheduled to contest the Upper bracket final of the Asian Champions League Group B Counter-Strike tournament on 13 May at 3:00 AM ET. The match will be played as a best-of-three series, with the winner advancing further in the competition. Current pricing on Polymarket's order book reflects a 100% implied probability for Lynn Vision, indicating the market has priced them as overwhelming favourites. This extreme skew suggests either substantial confidence in Lynn Vision's superiority or limited liquidity at the extremes of the book.
Asian Counter-Strike tournaments have historically featured volatile outcomes when Chinese teams face regional competitors, though Lynn Vision's recent form and roster stability provide some empirical basis for favouritism. Comparable Upper bracket finals in regional competitions have occasionally produced upsets when underdogs execute disciplined utility usage and exploit map-specific weaknesses. The current probability should be contextualised against typical match uncertainty—even heavily favoured teams lose best-of-three series at non-negligible rates in professional Counter-Strike.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions in the days preceding the match, as these can materially affect competitive balance. Schedule adherence is critical given the settlement window's 7-day delay clause; any postponement beyond 20 May would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent tournament announcements from the Asian Champions League organisers should be checked for format changes or technical requirements that might affect match integrity.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/churchd0gg. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $6K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/churchd0gg. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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