Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between ex-KRÜ Esports and Blitzkrieg in the CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 14 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-KRÜ Esports" if ex-KRÜ Esports win the match against Blitzkrieg. This market will resolve to "Blitzkrieg" if Blitzkrieg win the match against ex-KRÜ Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 80% YES | 21% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 89% YES | 11% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: ex-KRÜ Esports (-1.5) vs Blitzkrieg (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Ex-KRÜ Esports face Blitzkrieg in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match within the CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage, scheduled for 14 May at 9:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects an 86% implied probability favouring ex-KRÜ Esports, suggesting the market perceives a substantial skill or form differential between the two sides. This probability has been formed through active trading on the platform's order book, where buyers and sellers have converged on this price level.
Ex-KRÜ Esports operates as an established South American roster with prior tournament experience and regional recognition, whilst Blitzkrieg represents a less documented competitor within the same circuit. Historical CCT South America matchups typically see established organisations with consistent lineups outperform newer or less-proven squads, particularly in group-stage contexts where preparation and familiarity with opposition tend to correlate with outcomes. The 86% probability aligns with conventional expectations for such a pairing, though it does leave meaningful upside for contrarian positioning if Blitzkrieg demonstrates unexpected preparation or tactical innovation.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes through official CCT communications, as player absences or substitutions can materially shift match dynamics. Schedule adherence remains critical given the 7-day cancellation threshold; any postponement beyond 21 May would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent regional tournament results and head-to-head records, if available through esports databases, would provide granular calibration against the current market price.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs3. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $6K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs3. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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