Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between EC BANGA and m1x in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "EC BANGA" if EC BANGA win the match against m1x. This market will resolve to "m1x" if m1x win the match against EC BANGA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: m1x (-1.5) vs EC BANGA (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
EC BANGA and m1x are scheduled to compete in the upper bracket round one of the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs on 2 May at 7:00 AM ET. The match is a best-of-three series within a regional qualifying tournament for Counter-Strike 2. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity at current price levels or a consensus expectation favouring one outcome so strongly that no traders are willing to back the alternative at any reasonable odds. This pricing typically emerges when one team has substantially stronger recent form, roster stability, or tournament seeding advantage.
CCT Europe Challengers events have historically featured volatile outcomes given the mid-tier competitive tier they occupy—teams between established tier-one rosters and emerging squads. Recent tournaments in this series have seen upsets driven by map pool mismatches, stand-in availability, and preparation gaps. The current 0% probability suggests traders perceive an exceptionally wide skill differential or have priced in specific intelligence about team readiness that is not yet public.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes in the days preceding the match, as substitute players are common in regional qualifiers. Fixture delays are also material given the settlement window's seven-day tolerance; any postponement beyond 9 May without completion triggers a 50-50 resolution. CCT's official schedule and team social media accounts will signal any changes to the 7:00 AM ET start time.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs3. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: EC BANGA vs m1x (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs3. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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