Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between CYBERSHOKE Esports and AM Gaming in the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 9 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "CYBERSHOKE Esports" if CYBERSHOKE Esports win the match against AM Gaming. This market will resolve to "AM Gaming" if AM Gaming win the match against CYBERSHOKE Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs AM Gaming (+1.5) | 59% YES | 42% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 52% YES | 48% NO |
CYBERSHOKE Esports face AM Gaming in a Counter-Strike quarterfinal match scheduled for 9 May at 1:00 PM ET as part of the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs. The best-of-three format determines advancement in this regional European competition. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating traders assess both teams as evenly matched based on available information.
Historical precedent suggests that evenly-priced matchups in regional European Counter-Strike playoffs typically reflect genuine competitive parity or insufficient public data on team form. AM Gaming and CYBERSHOKE Esports operate within the same competitive ecosystem, and a 50-50 probability often emerges when neither side possesses recent tournament results that clearly separate their capabilities. Previous BC Game Masters events have seen upsets from lower-seeded teams, though quarterfinal matches generally favour teams with established LAN experience.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any lineup changes announced before the scheduled date, as Counter-Strike team composition directly impacts competitive outcomes. Recent practice results or scrim footage, if circulated through esports communities, could shift the probability away from parity. The settlement window closes 23:00 UTC on 9 May, allowing seven days for match completion; any postponement beyond 16 May without resolution triggers a 50-50 settlement. Fixture confirmations from the BC Game Masters organisers and any official schedule adjustments represent critical catalysts for probability movement in the coming weeks.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$104K in lifetime turnover and $81K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $104K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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