Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Betclic Apogee Esports and Johnny Speeds in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Betclic Apogee Esports" if Betclic Apogee Esports win the match against Johnny Speeds. This market will resolve to "Johnny Speeds" if Johnny Speeds win the match against Betclic Apogee Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: JS (-1.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Betclic Apogee Esports face Johnny Speeds in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match within the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, scheduled for 11 May at 7:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 45% implied probability for Betclic Apogee's victory, suggesting the market views Johnny Speeds as slight favourites or perceives meaningful uncertainty in the matchup.
Betclic Apogee Esports competes in the mid-tier European Counter-Strike ecosystem, whilst Johnny Speeds operates as a smaller regional outfit. Historical precedent in NODWIN tournaments shows that established organisations with consistent roster stability and LAN experience typically convert such probability gaps into wins roughly 55–65% of the time, though upsets occur when preparation disparities or tactical surprises materialise. The 45% probability assigned to Betclic suggests traders are pricing in either competitive parity or perceiving Johnny Speeds' recent form as stronger than their organisational standing would indicate.
Key variables to monitor include roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions, which NODWIN has occasionally announced within 24 hours of matches. Recent tournament results from both teams—particularly their performances in preceding Group Stage rounds—will clarify whether the current probability reflects genuine competitive balance or information asymmetry. The settlement window closes 11 May at 17:00 UTC, allowing a ten-hour window post-match for official result confirmation. Any scheduling delays beyond seven days would trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating tail risk for both sides of the market.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/nodwin_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$34K in lifetime turnover and $118 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $34K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/nodwin_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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