Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to which player records the most AWP kills across all maps played during the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 tournament, scheduled to take place from April 29 to May 3, 2026. If two or more players are tied for the most AWP kills, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If an unlisted player records the most AWP kills across all maps, this market will resolve to "Other". If BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 is canceled, postponed after May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the official results or statistics from BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 are not published within this timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Molody | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ZywOo | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| w0nderful | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Other | 100% YES | 0% NO |
BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 runs 29 April to 3 May as a Counter-Strike 2 tournament featuring top-tier teams competing across multiple maps. The market resolves to whichever player accumulates the highest AWP (an expensive, high-damage rifle) eliminations across all matches during the event. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity at available price levels or genuine uncertainty about which specific player will lead this particular statistic among dozens of competitors.
Historical precedent from comparable BLAST tournaments shows that AWP kill leaders typically emerge from in-game leaders or dedicated riflers on championship-contending rosters. Players like Ropz, sh1ro, and device have historically dominated weapon-specific statistics at major events, though performance varies significantly based on team composition, map pool and playstyle. The alphabetical tiebreaker rule adds a minor technical consideration but rarely influences outcomes given the statistical rarity of exact ties in kill counts across full tournaments.
Key catalysts include the official team roster announcements, which typically occur weeks before the event and determine which players will compete. The tournament's map pool, released closer to the event start date, will influence which players' AWP usage patterns prove most valuable—some competitors excel on specific maps. Traders should monitor BLAST's official communications and team roster updates through March and April 2026, as roster changes or injury withdrawals could significantly alter competitive dynamics and individual player statistics.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026: Most AWP Kills" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$41K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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