Resolution criteria on PolyGram: What price will BNB hit in June?
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ↓ 600 | 19% YES | 81% NO |
| ↓ 200 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↑ 1,100 | 4% YES | 97% NO |
| ↑ 800 | 28% YES | 73% NO |
| ↑ 700 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ↓ 300 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| ↑ 1,000 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| ↓ 400 | 24% YES | 77% NO |
Binance Coin (BNB) will need to reach a specific price threshold during June 2026 for this market to settle YES. The current order book on Polymarket prices this outcome at 18% implied probability, reflecting market participants' assessment that such a move is unlikely but plausible within the settlement window. The probability derives from live trading activity across the platform's liquidity pools, where buyers and sellers continuously adjust positions based on their expectations of BNB's trajectory.
BNB has historically demonstrated significant volatility tied to broader cryptocurrency cycles and Binance-specific developments. During the 2021 bull market, the token appreciated substantially, whilst the 2022 bear market saw sharp declines. The current 18% probability sits in the context of BNB trading patterns over recent years, where monthly price swings of 20–40% have occurred during periods of elevated market activity, though sustained moves beyond 50% in a single month remain less frequent. Comparable altcoins have shown similar probability distributions for similar timeframes.
Traders monitoring this market should track Binance's regulatory environment, particularly any announcements from the US or EU authorities, as these have historically moved BNB significantly. Cryptocurrency market-wide catalysts—including Federal Reserve policy shifts, Bitcoin price action, and macroeconomic data—will also influence BNB's June performance. Additionally, any major updates to Binance Smart Chain or changes to BNB's tokenomics could alter market expectations. News from major exchanges and regulatory bodies should be monitored closely through June 2026.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "What price will BNB hit in June?" are the same as any other PolyGram crypto-price event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$513 in lifetime turnover and $33K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for crypto contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $513 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 July 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: