Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | 0% YES | 100% NO |
This market settles based on whether the Hyperliquid (HYPE) token price according to Chainlink's HYPE/USD data stream closes higher or at the same level on 2 June 2026 between 10:20PM and 10:25PM ET compared to its opening price at 10:20PM. The five-minute window creates a narrow technical setup where intraday volatility and order flow dynamics dominate price discovery. Current Polymarket order book pricing reflects 0% implied probability for an up move, suggesting the market is pricing an expectation of either a price decline or flat consolidation during this specific interval.
Ultra-short timeframe markets like this typically trade on technical momentum and microstructure rather than fundamental catalysts. Historical five-minute HYPE price action has shown sensitivity to broader cryptocurrency market moves and spot exchange order imbalances, particularly around key resistance or support levels. When markets price such tight windows at extreme probabilities—either near 0% or 100%—they often reflect either strong directional conviction from informed traders or thin liquidity conditions where small positions move the odds significantly.
Traders should monitor Hyperliquid's spot trading volume and any correlated asset movements in the hours preceding the settlement window, as these can establish momentum into the close. Chainlink's data feed aggregates prices from multiple sources, so any exchange-specific flash moves or liquidity events during that five-minute period could drive settlement. The current 0% pricing suggests the order book sees structural headwinds or recent downward momentum that traders expect to persist through the window.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: