Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Hyperliquid's price movement over a five-minute window on 30 May at 10:55–11:00 PM ET will determine this market's resolution. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for an up movement, indicating traders are pricing in either a price increase or flat performance across this brief interval. Such extreme probabilities in short-duration markets typically emerge when liquidity is thin or when one side of the order book dominates early trading, rather than reflecting high confidence in directional certainty.
Five-minute price windows in crypto markets rarely settle at extremes without underlying catalysts. Historical precedent from similar micro-duration markets shows that when implied probabilities reach 100%, resolution often hinges on minimal price movements, rounding conventions in the data feed, or the specific timestamp at which Chainlink's HYPE/USD oracle captures its final reading. The settlement source—Chainlink's data stream rather than spot exchange prices—introduces an additional layer of specificity; oracle feeds can occasionally diverge from broader market prices due to aggregation methodology or latency.
Traders should monitor whether any announcements or protocol updates affecting Hyperliquid are scheduled near the settlement window, though such events are uncommon in five-minute intervals. The primary variable remains the Chainlink feed's behaviour during that precise moment. Given the extremely tight timeframe and the current probability skew, any movement in the order book would likely reflect either new information about Hyperliquid's near-term trajectory or adjustments to perceived feed mechanics rather than fundamental reassessment of the asset's direction.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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